UPDATE!!!

Getting hammered on this crude short. The big move occurred overnight while we were sleeping - unfortunately. We will be monitoring the action to see how we can minimize the damage and get on the right side of things.

In terms of stocks, the next two resistance levels for the S&P e-Mini futures are 1928 - 30 and 1950. Elliott Wave rules / guidelines tell us that 1928 - 30 is where the rally should stop. However, the pattern we see developing over the last several sessions indicate to us that 1950 is the more likely target.

We wouldn't be shorting unless and until 1950 is approached or tested on the futures. We would only consider selling longs (if you have them) at 1928.

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Crude and the equity markets

So, rumors of Saudi / Russia collaboration caused a 15% rally off of last week's lows for crude and a lesser rally in sympathy by equities. The rumors of some type of action came to fruition overnight last night - ...

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Crude

I'm thinking 28.30 is a certainty and 28.88 - 29.03 is a possibility on this little bounce in crude - but then that's it. We should see one more stab lower in crude down to the low 25s before a ...

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Reads on #ES futes, #gold, #crude oil and more!!

Covered in our weekly Fintec Factor report includes:

  • S&P futures
  • Gold
  • Crude oil
  • Coffee
  • Sugar
  • Soybean meal
  • Wheat
  • Corn
  • Soybeans
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Sick market showing us the bulls need more time to recover

A truly sick market never hits upside targets before turning lower again (and frequently undercuts downside projected targets before bouncing meagerly). If that isn't wheat we've got right now, I don't know what is.

We're now of the mindset that ...

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Lower targets for stocks and crude oil; higher for gold

January 8, 2015:

BEARS FEAST AS THE BULLS’ HOPES ARE DASHED BY REALITY

Here are some random observations before we get into today’s analysis:

  • The risk markets are in full bear mode now.Rallies must be met with skepticism for the ...
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Some quick technical thoughts on QQQ and the market to open 2016...

...after peeking at the charts just now:

  1. Current long-term allocations for the Sea Change Core Equity Model remain at 16.66% long of QQQ (or large cap US stock mutual funds / annuity sub-accounts) and 84% cash. Nothing close to joining ...
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Stock / ETF hot streak update...

Sea Change now 33 wins / last 40 ideas ( ETFs & stocks)...portf up 36.14% since 11/2...all swing & day trades based on tech / quant analysis #trading #stocks #proshares

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Hot streak summary...

Since 10/23, our service is 32 winners out of the last 37 recos and has taken model from 83k to over 110k as of 12/21 close - mostly just using ETFs

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Surprising negative action continues in December

December 18, 2015:

AFTER HEAD-FAKE RALLY WEDNESDAY POST-FED, RISK BACK IN BEAR MODE

Here are some random observations before we get into today’s analysis:

  • The risk markets reacted initially with glee following the long-anticipated rate hike by the US Federal ...
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Post-Fed Look at the S&P e-Minis

Either:

  • The minis pull back a 61.8% retrace of the rally that started at 1983 and lasted til the peak today - which would take prices down to 2015 - 2016; or,
  • They only pull them back to 2048, 2036 ...
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Check out our most recent look at the futures markets by visiting our site...

December 11, 2015:

NASTY SELLING IN DECEMBER?WHAT HAPPENED TO SANTA CLAUS?THIS CAN’T BE GOOD!

Here are some random observations before we get into today’s analysis:

  • The risk markets have been uncharacteristically weak for the month of December thus far.Normally, we ...
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Reviews Average Rating          

         
Excellent advice these last turbulent months...
         
Wide stop loss and small at profit taking but that's their style.
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