Wild Start, American Badass and a storm Warnings

While we had some recovery today so far 2016 is off to a less than wonderful start for equity investors. For a brief period we were 10% off the highs and in legitimate correction territory but todays rally changed that. The rally was attributed to a lack of bad news out of China, a bid in oil for the first time this week and decent earnings from JP Morgan (JPM). We had decent results out of Intel tonight but the outlook was a little dim so we will see what that means for tomorrow. It is still a fairly volatile environment for equities and we will see what the next week or two brings us.

Looking at the economy I see that there is still a lot of talk about who wonderful the US economy is right now. The president in his State of the Union drug out that tired old canard about the US being the strongest in the world. I am sorry but being the tallest short person does not mean you will be starting at center for the New York Knicks tonight (see how I shamelessly pandered to those readers in the heart of the financial world there?) We are better than most of the economies because the other economies are horrific right now not because we are seeing wonderful surge of economic activity. Listen to what Steelcase, the office furniture company, CEO Jim Keane had to say last week He told his investors that” “I will also comment I am a member of various groups where CEOs come together and talk about what they see. And for these large customer CEOs, some of the outlooks, for example, business roundtables, commentary recently about business capital spending, would confirm that are large customers are seeing this headwind. So, ...

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Puking, Wishing and Seeking Shelter

I get it. The world is ending. North Korea has a bomb. None knows what kind of a bomb but apparently a damn big one. China is slowing and they dropped the yuan again this week. The middle east is ...

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Small Banks, Lessons Learned and Red,Red Wine

New Year’s Eve is upon as last. Before we put 2015 to bed let me urge you all to please stay off the roads tonight. Even if you don’t drink , along with the regular drunks the roads tonight will ...

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Bar room bets, Shrinking IQ and Rock &Roll

Fed day is finally behind us and we can now move on form will they to how often will they raise rates. The amount to talk and wagering surrounding the first rate hike since 2006 has at times reminded me ...

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Stealth Bear and Lessons Learned

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Illquidity,barbed wire and holiday music

A kind soul on twitter sent me a study the other day by Thomas M. Idzorek, CFA, James X. Xiong, CFA, and Roger G. Ibbotson that studied liquidity in the equity market. Want to guess what they found? The same ...

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Doubling Down, Momentum and Spanish Pipedreams

I couldn’t help myself. I really did not want to do it. Circumstances forced my hand. I bought another energy related company today after they (shocker) missed earnings forecast. This firm I bought on the services side of the coin ...

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Oil, Banks and Fish

It has been an interesting week to be an oil and gas investor. While I am not an energy specific investor I certainly I have a bunch of oil and gas related names in the deep value portfolios. I was ...

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Piracy, Legendary Returns and 104 Days of Darkeness

I confess that I was at a bit of a loss about what to write today. I have sent a lot of content out this week including an hour long discussion with Chris Swatta of RBC in Annapolis on his ...

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Talking Banks ,REITS and Special Situations

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GDP, Vomit Bags, and Frank Zappa

If anything about todays muted GDP report is a surprise to you then you simply are not paying attention. If I could get my hands on some of these folks telling us how robust and wonderful the US economy is ...

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Wal-mart, Activists and the Cubs

Once again the only surprise is that anyone is surprised. Wal-mart (WMT) is dealing with wage stagnation, higher wages and intense price competition from Amazon and other on line retailers. They are being hit on all fronts right now and ...

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